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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: August 15th, 2024

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  • The problem is people don’t want a focused community. They want a broad community so when they have a question they can ask and find an expert - but not so broad that the noise means they can’t follow anything. We do focused communities because the world (or even internet) has too many people and so the noise of all the discussions is too much. However that isn’t what we want.








  • Maybe, but that isn’t clear. Like I said, I don’t have fuel source statistics, even though that is important. I suspect it is too early to gather those statistics.

    The Prius has some battery replacement, but my impression is most of them the battery lasts for life, only in a few cases is it seen as worth it to replace a battery (or just a dead cell?). EVs have not been around long enough to really develop this industry - if it ever will develop.

    The leaf is an outlier - their battery management system was poor and it killed the battery in ways that nearly every other make avoids. The leaf sold in enough numbers, long enough ago, that I’d expect to see an industry to replace the battery if one will happen and it doesn’t seem to be as large as one should expect. This is a sign of something - but what it is too early to tell.


  • Retail will take anyone and train them which is why it is so easy.

    Every other job needs someone with special skills and so they are selective and hard to get in. Even though most people don’t work retails, there is much more competition for these jobs, and a lot less job in any given specialty. The better the job the less competition there is - but there still is plenty of competition.

    Which means you need to not ask for “a job”, but select the specific job and then set yourself up to be good at that on your own time. The more specialized you get, the better a chance you have a job in that specialty - but the worse chance you get at any other job! Which means choosing the right specialty is critically important. Good luck (usually it too bad though as most things have enough demand).

    The worst part: once you get a job they start teaching you the skill for that. It is really hard to change latter because you go from an expert to beginner.

    Remember what others have said though: who you know is more important that what you know! So figure out who you know! Figure out what they can maybe get you into, and apply the above in consideration of that. Sometimes people will tell you what they can help you with, sometimes they won’t know but you can guess.


  • I suspect he is wrong - the average car is 12 year old, which means there are a lot of cars older than 24 years old still on the road. Of course cars do wear out and get scrapped, but just looking at broad statistics we should expect most EVs made since 2002 (after the EV1) are still on the road (this is broad statistics which doesn’t consider fuel source at all - even though it is an important consideration I don’t have data!) Which is to say there is no reason to think there are large numbers of batteries ready to be recycled. The first EVs are only now entering the phase where they are going to start getting scrapped - and there were not a lot of any of them made.

    There likely is a good business to be made recycling used car batteries. However if you want to get into it now is not the time to expand/scale , now is still time to be designing and testing the machines and processes you will be using when you scale. Anyone in this business should expect to still be losing many - your business plan should have real data showing real data of when you expect cars to be scrapped in numbers large enough to be wroth scaling.


  • don’t blame capitalism. People are that shortsighted about everything. In your own niche you are not but I don’t have to know anything about you to state with 100% confidence that you have already been shortsited about something in your life.

    On the other hand you can’t do everything correctly - you don’t have enough time. You have to make hard choices about where you place the redundancey. Aften people focus an the last crisis and so they over invest in fire protection in the next house after a house burns - but the odds of a house fire are still low and they are likely putting less into the real next problem - whatever it will be.