The only rule is “don’t be the one to lose”. As long as the theocracy does not surrender, they are winning.

It’s entirely reasonable to believe that it is more likely that a new administration would take the chance to end the war than the current one is to make America incapable of bombing Iran on a reasonable timeline

Of course, that assumes that Iran thinks that this would work at all. They might make the full release of the files a condition to open the strait, but America would then just say “well we already released them so that won’t work as a deal” and rely on the current administrations cultish supporters to believe that